Browsing Tag
Peer-Reviewed Research
2 posts
Assessing Future Tropical Cyclone Risk Using Downscaled CMIP6 Projections
The authors employ the Columbia Hazard model (CHAZ) to characterise future tropical cyclone (TC) activity under the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 by downscaling 12 models that participated in the Coupled Climate Model Intercomparison Project’s sixth generation (CMIP6), focusing on the Western North Pacific (WNP) and North Atlantic (ATL) basins.
September 4, 2024
Projecting Future Tropical Cyclone Frequencies by Combining Uncertain Empirical Estimates of Baseline Frequencies with Climate Model Estimates of Change
Various studies have given projections for how frequencies of tropical cyclones (TCs) might change under climate change. In this study, we combine a set of such projections with uncertain estimates of frequencies of tropical cyclones in a baseline climate to produce probabilistic projections of tropical cyclone frequencies for the next 50 years.
July 23, 2024